Sometimes niche electoral theory issues can jump into the spotlight in surprising ways. Normally, the question of how to predict new margins for an independent whose seat has been expanded would only interest redistribution wonks and the relevant campaign teams.
Yet following the draft redistribution of Victoria, it’s been central to a high-profile, apparently short-lived push for former treasurer Josh Frydenberg to run again in Kooyong. The basis for the push was never sound.
The next election will be held on new boundaries in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia, provided it is called after mid-October 2024. These
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