Kevin Bonham, Author at Crikey

Polling on race: The secret is deniability

Kevin Bonham — Tue, 10 Sep 2024 01:28:15 +0000

A voter’s reason for liking what Peter Dutton says may be racist or xenophobic, but they can easily defend that position in other ways without asking themselves any hard questions.

The post Polling on race: The secret is deniability appeared first on Crikey.

Abolishing Higgins seat sent everyone into a frenzy for all the wrong reasons

Kevin Bonham — Tue, 04 Jun 2024 00:07:01 +0000

The draft redistribution of Victoria, which abolishes the electoral seat of Higgins, resulted in slew of hot takes.

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Which parties have experienced political death, and who’s teetering on the brink?

Kevin Bonham — Wed, 24 Apr 2024 00:46:51 +0000

Political analyst Kevin Bonham runs through which minor parties have folded, renamed, disbanded and otherwise fallen off the face of the earth altogether.

The post Which parties have experienced political death, and who’s teetering on the brink? appeared first on Crikey.

Voice data: Understanding the gravity of the No vote and Indigenous support levels

Kevin Bonham — Thu, 19 Oct 2023 23:41:45 +0000

It looked for a while that the Indigenous Voice to Parliament referendum might buck the trend, but the Yes number's fall accelerated quickly.

The post Voice data: Understanding the gravity of the No vote and Indigenous support levels appeared first on Crikey.

In targeting ‘soft No’ and undecided Voice voters, the Yes camp faces a daunting task

Kevin Bonham — Thu, 14 Sep 2023 01:03:20 +0000

The Yes team is running out of time to turn the undecided voters around, and the No team is making the most of that.

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Yes voters need to snap out of polling denial — the numbers are real

Kevin Bonham — Wed, 13 Sep 2023 00:00:54 +0000

There are a lot of false claims on social media about the accuracy of polls. Here's a rundown of just how wrong some of those claims are.

The post Yes voters need to snap out of polling denial — the numbers are real appeared first on Crikey.

How does Voice polling compare to the same-sex marriage survey?

Kevin Bonham — Wed, 14 Jun 2023 01:48:50 +0000

With most polls showing support for the Yes vote for the Voice to Parliament fading, it's time to look at what's behind the figures.

The post How does Voice polling compare to the same-sex marriage survey? appeared first on Crikey.