US ambassador Kevin Rudd speaking with former US ambassador Joe Hockey (Image: Sky News)
US ambassador Kevin Rudd speaking with former US ambassador Joe Hockey (Image: Sky News)

It’s less than four months until the US presidential election. Joe Biden and Donald Trump are basically neck-and-neck. Polling aggregation website 538 says its model “gives Donald Trump a durable lead in the polls, but based on additional indicators, still thinks the presidential election could go either way”.

“Right now, President Joe Biden is favoured to win in 535 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the election could go, while former president Donald Trump wins in 462 of our simulations,” the website reported on Wednesday.